Average edge found: +6.9 pp · analysis in 10 seconds

We show you where the
bookmaker overpays

Upload a screenshot of your slip. The model breaks down every leg, computes its own probability and shows you where the odds are above fair value — and by how much. Ten seconds per analysis, the first one free.

See the open log
from1 900 for 30 days
Ten seconds per analysis, no card neededWorks with a screenshot from any bookmakerWe show why the model decided that way
coupon_4471.jpganalysed
Worth backing
3 legs · scored by our model
Odds
5.28
Our probability
25.4%
Edge
+6.5 pp
Odds — what the bookmaker pays. Our probability — how often this event lands by our numbers. Gap — how far the bookmaker missed, in your favour.
Arsenal — Chelsea1.85
Over 2.5 goals
market 54.1%model 60.5%+6.4 pp
Flamengo — Palmeiras1.66
Under 2.5 goals
market 60.2%model 66.0%+5.8 pp
Enyimba — Rivers United1.72
Both teams to score
market 58.1%model 63.5%+5.4 pp
The rest of the slip is behind the pass
Why the model decided that way
+6.9
pp average edge found
61%
of slips had an edge worth backing
18,402
analyses over the last 30 days
10 s
for a full slip breakdown
Demo

What an analysis looks like

A real example of the model working on a Premier League match. We show not just the conclusion, but everything it is built from.

Premier League3 h to kick-off

Manchester City — Liverpool

Over 2.5 goals · 1.95
Market implies51.3%
The bookmaker thinks there will be more than two goals in about half of matches like this.
Our model64.8%
We ran the numbers on these two sides: it happens more often — in roughly two matches out of three.
+13.5percentage points of gap. That is how badly the bookmaker underrated this event — and how much more generously it is paying than it should.
89%
Worth backing · +13.5 pp
Model confidence — 89%

Confidence is about whether the model had enough data: enough matches played, line-ups known, no mid-season break. Below 70% confidence we do not show a verdict at all.

In plain words

A fair price for this event is 1.54. The bookmaker is paying 1.95. It made a mistake in your favour and we caught it. Backing slips like this is better value than backing random ones — even when one particular match does not land.

Why the model decided that way

City score 2+ in seven of their last eight home games
Liverpool are missing both centre-backs — neither is in the squad
Head to head: over 2.5 landed in six of the last eight meetings
Both sides are top-5 in the league for expected goals per 90 minutes
The line moved 0.12 in a day — the market has not priced in the team news yet

Every weighted factor goes into the PDF report: you can see exactly what moved the estimate and by how much.

We read screenshots from
Right now

There is an empty row in the feed. It is yours.

Every analysis lands in the shared feed the moment it is made. No yesterday’s tips — only what is happening now. Upload a slip and the next row carries your name.

Being analysed right now1,284 today
Average edge
+8.4%
With an edge
61%
Time per analysis
9.6 s
What you get

Three answers. Nothing else.

You have already built your slip. We look at it and say one of three things: back it, drop one leg, or skip it. No essays — clear at a glance.

Worth backing

The bookmaker is paying more than the event deserves under our model. A gap above five percentage points means the price is in your favour.

Threshold · gap ≥ 5 pp

Drop this leg

One leg is dragging the whole slip down. We show exactly which one, and how much the price of the whole slip improves once it is gone.

Typical case · 1 slip in 3

Not our bet

The gap is below the threshold, so there is no edge and we will not invent one. An honest "pass" saves more money than a pretty prediction.

We say this · in 39% of analyses
Four steps

From screenshot to verdict in 10 seconds

01

Screenshot

Take a shot of the slip in your bookmaker app and drop the image into your account. Nothing to retype.

02

Recognition

The model reads every match, market and price straight off the picture. Even when there are twelve legs on the slip.

03

Pricing

We look at team form, line-ups, tempo and head-to-head history. We compute our own probability and compare it with the odds.

04

Verdict and PDF

You get one of three verdicts, a breakdown per leg, and a PDF that stays in your account history.

How we count

The gap between price and truth

Odds are the bookmaker’s opinion about how often something happens. Sometimes that opinion is wrong. We compute our own number and compare. If ours is higher, the bookmaker is paying more than it should — and that is your gain. The whole service is about this one thing.

Twenty bets that look identical. The highlighted ones are where the price is genuinely in your favour. They are always the minority — that is the point.

Arsenal — Chelsea · over 2.5 goals
Market implies
54.1%
Our model
71.4%
+17.3
percentage points in your favour. Odds of 1.85 against a fair 1.40 — that is the bookmaker overpaying, not luck.
What we are not

Not a tipster, not a stats blog

A tipster sells confidence about the future and dies after three bad days. A stats site sells tables nobody reads. We sell one thing: a price check on the slip you were going to place anyway.

Tipster / picksStats websiteVERDIKT
What is soldConfidence in an outcomeA wall of numbersA price check on your bet
Works withTheir own match listLeagues and tablesYour finished slip
Visible after a monthDeleted losing postsNothing — no decisionsAn open log of every verdict
Can say noAlmost neverNot its jobSays it 39% of the time
Promises profitYes — and that is its weak spotNoNo, and never will
Where it leadsTo the bookmaker via a referral linkTo the next articleNowhere — we run no affiliate links
Open log

Every verdict is recorded. Including the bad ones.

Each verdict is written before kick-off and never edited afterwards. We do not show a "win rate" — that is somebody else’s metric — but how accurate our price estimate turned out to be.

Estimate accuracy against the market
Analyses in the log
18 402
over the last 30 days
Average edge found
+6.9 pp
only on "worth backing"
Edge found
61.3%
in the rest we honestly said pass
Model error
±4.1 pp
Brier calibration

The figures on this screen are demo data for an interface prototype. In the live version the log is filled automatically and cannot be edited by hand. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results: every bet stays a risk you take yourself.

Your account

Everything you analyse stays with you

Signing up opens your account: a history of every analysis with its PDF, your personal stats and pass management. It takes ten seconds and no card.

verdikt.app/cabinet
Aalexey@mail.com
Recent analyses42 / 30 дн.
04.08Arsenal — Chelsea +2Worth backingPDF
03.08Flamengo — Palmeiras +1Drop a legPDF
02.08Kaizer Chiefs — Pirates +3Not our betPDF
01.08Man City — Everton +2Worth backingPDF
31.07Al Hilal — Al Nassr +1Not our betPDF
Your stats
Analyses made
42
Average edge
+7.2 pp
Slips turned down
17
Not staked on a "no"
₦ 34 200
Analyses per week
Monthly passactive
18 of 30 days left. Renew by hand — there are no automatic debits.
12 / 3004.09.2026
Settings
Interface language
English
Name in the public feed
Hidden
Notifications
E-mail and Telegram
Currency
NGN · IP
Access

You pay for analyses, not for promises

The first analysis is free, no card required. After that you pick a pass that fits your rhythm: trial, monthly or a whole season. The pass never renews itself, and unused days are refunded.

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Trial
See how it works before any money changes hands.
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  • 1 analysis per day
  • One leg of the slip
  • PDF report
  • Analysis history
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Monthly pass
Full analysis of any slip, no limits.
1 900
for 30 days · $1.22
  • Unlimited analyses
  • Every leg of the slip
  • PDF for each analysis
  • History and personal stats
Season
Six months for the price of four. For people who already count.
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  • Everything in the monthly pass
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Payment: card, bank transfer, USSD and mobile wallets. The pass does not renew itself — we remind you two days before it ends.
Questions

What people ask first

Because we sell the price, not the probability. A bet with a 50% chance at odds of 2.30 is profitable; the same bet at 1.80 is not. You cannot see that difference with your eyes, and it is exactly what we compute. When there is no difference, we say "not our bet" — which happens in roughly four cases out of ten.

No. We do not publish match lists, we do not post "accumulator of the day", and we do not decide for you where the money goes. We work only with the slip you built yourself and check whether the bookmaker is paying a fair price for it.

All of them — we read an image, we do not plug into their systems. A screenshot from the mobile app, from a browser, even a photo of a phone screen: if the match, market and odds are legible, the analysis will run.

Up to twelve in a single slip. On the free tier one leg is analysed in full and the rest are shown blurred — so you can see the work was actually done, not merely promised.

No, and anyone who guarantees that is lying to you. A price check improves the quality of your decisions over distance, but every individual match stays a random event. We can be right about the price and still lose that particular bet — which is exactly why we keep an open log.

The pass does not auto-renew — it simply expires, and we send a reminder two days before. If you leave early, unused days are refunded to the same payment method within three working days.

Only an anonymised row reaches the public feed: your name can be hidden and stake amounts are never shown. The screenshot itself and the PDF stay inside your account.

House rules

Three things we will never do

We will not send you to a bookmaker

Not a single affiliate link on this site. We earn from the pass, not from your losses through our link — otherwise our interests would diverge from yours on day one.

We will not delete bad verdicts

The log is written automatically before kick-off. We physically cannot rewrite a verdict after the fact — records are immutable and timestamped.

We will not promise profit

Not in ads, not in emails, not in the interface. We talk about the price of a bet and how accurate our estimate is. Everything else is a decision that stays yours.

One slip. Ten seconds. Zero promises.

Check any bet you were going to place today. If there is no edge, we will say so plainly — and you save exactly what you were about to stake.

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